Therotic Foundation of Dynavic (Reasonance) Earthquake Model
Kasumov F. K., Asianov F. A.
Azerbaijan National Airspace Agency (ANASA), Baku, Azerbaijan
Latest achievement of space science [1-14] allows us to apply a non-traditional non-standard approach to the problem of earthquakes both to explain mechanism of precursors generation and implementation of reliable forecast, as well as to build resonance theory of earthquakes emerging. Suggested dynamic (resonance) mechanism, theory of the Sun-Earth perturbances (SEP), earthquake focus model 9see Fig. 5) [1-7] allow us to devise the algorithm to calculate trigger mechanism and to execute reliable forecast of earthquakes.
Besides, model of multi-layer condenser [1-7] which explains mechanism of earthquake focus excitation and operation of the system ionosphere-lithosphere-Earth core allows us not only to forecast, control and prevent earthquakes, but also to understand mechanism of seismic energy "input" and "output" to the subsurface [1,2]. Control of mechanism of tectonic strains transformation into electric static energy and its output from the earthquake focus by means of discharge prior to its initiation can enable us to prevent earthquakes.
Generation of seismic energy output from the earthquake focus can be subsequently used as environmentally clean cheap electric power which is must more competitive in the market than atomic and thermonuclear energy. This is the problem of the century to be resolved by all of the mankind who have encountered with environmental problem on the global scale.
Let's elaborate on theoretic foundation of dynamic (resonance) model [1-7] . We call in dynamic because it is based on dynamics of the Sun-Earth perturbances-SEP which periodically (on cyclic basis) excite the Earth subsurface, prepare and initiate tectonic shocks and expedite earthquakes of technologic origin.
We also call it resonance model because, according to this theory, the trigger mechanism is put into operation due to emergence of resonance situation when oscillations of the Earth coincide with oscillations (impulses of external oscillations) outgoing from the Sun (oscillations of the Sun sphere) which initiates earthquakes [1-7].
The theory has been worked out with principles of mathematical and physical similarity and scale effect taken into consideration. The general theory is basing on following:
- the Sun-Earth perturbances-SEP have been generalized and their model worked out;
- mechanism of earthquake focus and condenser model CM-designed;
- mechanism of resonance situation-RS emergence and trigger mechanism operation - TMO worked out;
- models SEP, CM, RS and TMO generalized, general dynamic resonance theory and models of forecast algorithm (realization of the resonance situation) worked out-CR.
Let's elaborate on these models and give the model of forecast algorithm. The earthquake model suggested by us [1-7] is built on resonance theory of coincidence of seismic waves of different frequency range with the Earth own oscillations can be successfully realized on the basis of SEP taken into consideration. These reasons initialing earthquakes are as follows:
- maximum of the Sun activity connskted with the coincidence of different cycles;
- tide mechanism, tide force of the Moon and other planets of the Solarsystem;
- coincidence of the Sun-Earth perturbances connected with periods of the Earth revolution round the Sun;
- generation of D-waves, trigger mechanism of excitation of small magnetic fields (of interplanetary medium) ESMMF, emergence of redundant pressure in the atmosphere (big pressures, cyclones in the ionosphere).
Antropogenic technogenic activities of both forms can also encourage earthquakes on the global scale namaley.
- Antropogenic technologenic activities: river beds turning, construction of artificial water reservoirs, intensive development of mineral resources, construction of hydrotechnical facilities: dikes and damps, etc.;
- Artificial subsurfase explosion(nuclear and large-scaleindustrial explosions), rocket launching.
All these reasons can be united in 3 groups
- group A- reasons related to SEP (1.2)
- group B- reasons related to antropogenic activities (5,6)
- group Q- so called "quiet" earthquakes relayed to excitation of small magnetic fields (of inter-planetary medium) or ESMF (3,4).
Every group has its own trigger mechanism of earthquake excitation and initiation, through these mechanisms have much in common. If reasons of groups A and B have been studied to some extent, group Q-quit earthquakes-today are very difficult to forecast, because mechanisms of trigger excitation of small (interplanetary) magnetic fields-ESMF has not been inquired into at all.
If we neglect even one of the above-mentioned reasons, all the earthquake forecast calculation technique will become useless. It is very important to thoroughly study each reason to work out respective calculation technique, to discuss various earthquake scenarios and their trigger mechanisms.
