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Evaluation of earthquake damage in Delhi


Building damage

  MSK V MSK IV MSK VII MSK VIII
Reinforced concrete
building
0 12,600 62,000 125,700
Engineered masonry
building
43,400 217,000 434,000 651,100
Non-engineered
masonry building
38,900 194,400 388,800 583,200
Non-engineered
constructions using
other materials
87,200 435,900 653,900 828,200


Casualty
Time MSK VI MSK VII MSK VIII
Midnight 31,400 118,400 277,600
6 A.M 25,000 94,600 22,100
12 Noon 18,800 71,000 166,500
Death estimate
Time MSKVI MSK VII MSK VIII
Midnight 11,200 42,600 100,100
6 A.M 9,000 34,000 80,000
12 Noon 6,700 25,500 60,100


Structural mitigation measures

Engineered constructions
  • Better compliance with design codes
  • Careful detailing.
  • Good quality control
  • Leads to reduction in vulnerability
Non-engineered constructions.
  • Difficult to implement any mitigation measures
  • No reduction in vulnerability
Reduced vulnerability Index

  MSK V MSK VI MSK VII MSK VIII
Reinforced Concrete
building
0.00 0.03 0.15 0.30
Engineered masonry
building
0.00 0.05 0.25 0.50
Non-engineered
masonry building
0.00 0.05 0.25 0.50
Non-engineered
constructions using
other materials
0.10 0.50 0.75 0.95


Injury estimate for 2011
Mitigation

Time Yes No Yes No Yes No
  MSK VI   MSK VII   MSK VII  
Midnight 36,500 40,800 139,700 153,900 333,600 361,000
6 A.M 29,200 32,600 111,800 123,100 266,900 288,700
12 Noon 21,900 24,500 83,800 92,300 200,2000 216,500


Death estimate for 2001
Mitigation

Time Yes No Yes No Yes No
  MSK VI   MSK VII   MSK VIII  
Midnight 13,200 14,700 50,700 55,500 121,00 130,400
6 A.M 10,600 11,700 40,600 44,300 96,900 104,300
12 Noon 7,900 8,800 30,400 33,300 72,700 78,200


Conclusions
  • Seiismic vulnerability can be decreased by proper choice of construction technioque. Good engineered constructions are essential.
Structural mitigation measures tend to reduce earthquake risks only in the long-term. They must be used in conjunction with other measures.
  • Vulnerability analysis results can provide invaluable assistance in relief and recovery following an earthquake disaster.
  • Engineering community needs to play a pro-active role to reduce vulnerability of urban areas.

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